Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 8.312350 9.729836 11.282336 13.104424 15.179601 17.464579 20.166023
2026-01-04 6.127485 8.089735 10.465991 13.532856 17.361052 21.954905 27.854705
2026-01-11 4.709417 6.855927 9.672881 13.588767 18.831064 25.539115 34.692234
2026-01-18 3.770246 5.969167 9.058424 13.626461 20.101377 28.824905 41.312094
2026-01-25 2.996635 5.126218 8.309919 13.285811 20.703724 31.156183 46.746948
2026-02-01 2.420431 4.450987 7.666090 12.950984 21.194347 33.280824 51.971126
2026-02-08 1.933725 3.816144 6.966816 12.400799 21.245348 34.701384 56.212311
2026-02-15 1.575437 3.326227 6.414646 11.985801 21.416812 36.257175 60.704680
2026-02-22 1.401970 3.137197 6.338481 12.335955 22.826684 39.800980 68.461171
2026-03-01 1.257858 2.975671 6.282418 12.701382 24.276368 43.492211 76.677133
2026-03-08 1.046134 2.633889 5.837956 12.304962 24.359166 44.932842 81.331999
2026-03-15 0.882298 2.360027 5.480635 12.017439 24.588066 46.606318 86.445742
2026-03-22 0.810733 2.292956 5.555558 12.622940 26.599085 51.649385 97.882800
2026-03-29 0.722529 2.170799 5.503821 12.985898 28.224430 56.203396 108.918430
2026-04-05 0.623386 1.997172 5.310456 13.029634 29.236161 59.735665 118.419148
2026-04-12 0.539036 1.840418 5.126706 13.063955 30.222476 63.282958 128.174221
2026-04-19 0.448120 1.639650 4.801072 12.735300 30.424032 65.356523 135.358670
2026-04-26 0.372829 1.462423 4.498992 12.412615 30.592669 67.360697 142.523354
2026-05-03 0.301768 1.275336 4.133588 11.882577 30.247393 68.311542 147.727386
2026-05-10 0.247788 1.126730 3.840807 11.482854 30.137734 69.707693 153.858915
2026-05-17 0.225462 1.084243 3.839334 11.820112 31.734816 74.704954 167.380814
2026-05-24 0.205890 1.046073 3.843573 12.172128 33.397155 79.946804 181.692212
2026-05-31 0.170107 0.930127 3.588138 11.790259 33.273326 81.391187 188.386269